OpenReview IkjsHRpuYY · released-data reproduction

Prescriptive Scaling of LM Capabilities

Independent estimator implementation and released-code rerun over 3,663 models, with literal table checks, temporal tests, budget ablations, and destructive controls.

#Direct resultPage
1Only (τ,κ,λ)=(0.98,50,10⁻³) matches Table 1 within 0.0005Claim 1
2All Table 2 estimator rows re-executedClaim 2
3All six 10²⁴-FLOP cells within 0.0005Claim 3
4Three rolling temporal splits reproduce the task separationClaim 4
5Exact released budget manifests re-run across five budgetsClaim 5
6γ=0.5757, permutation p=0.1484, n=90Claim 6